and texas, which there are only old polls, it will be solid romney. but the important thing, since april 11 when romney secured the republican nomination we have done these every two weeks and the movement has been toward romney. for example, in the last two weeks, new hampshire went from lean obama, to toss up and michigan went from lean obama to toss up. so, a total of, between those two, of 21 electoral votes moving from obama to toss up. we have seen persistent movement to romney moving into a situation where romney, all he needs to do is win north carolina, virginia, ohio and florida which are battleground or leaning states and win one another: new hampshire, pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin, colorado, nevada, new mexico, most of which are dead even states in a toss up category and he wins the white house. >>neil: you need two -- 270 electoral votes. if he got those states you update texas, including south carolina, romney would be in the area of 215, right? >>guest: well, it is more than tight. at the beginning he starts with the john mccain st